Сценарное планирование

Очень интересная статейка по сценарному анализу. Наводит на размышления

Eyes Wide Open: Embracing Uncertainty through Scenario Planning

http://www.weforum.org/pdf/GLF/kristel.pdf

Scenario Planning to Guide Long-Term Investments in Agricultural

http://siteresources.worldbank.org/INTARD/Resources/Scenario_Planning_DP_29_final.pdf

Using Scenario Planning as a Weapon Against Uncertainty

http://knowledge.wharton.upenn.edu/article.cfm?articleid=470

http://manikantanaik.wordpress.com/using-scenario-planning-as-a-weapon-against-uncertainty/

Planning in times of uncertainty

Enterprise mobile product strategy using scenario planning

http://www.chetansharma.com/Enterprise%20Mobility%20-%20Scenario%20Planning%20Chapter.PDF

Planning With Uncertainty

Более фундаментальные работы

Paul J. H. Schoemaker, Robert E. Gunther. Profiting from Uncertainty: Strategies for Succeeding No Matter What the Future Brings

van der Heijden, Kees. Scenarios: The Art of Strategic Conversation. Wiley & Sons, 1996.

Schoemaker, Paul J.H. and Cornelius A.J.M. van der Heijden, "Integrating Scenarios into Strategic Planning at Royal Dutch/Shell," Planning Review. Vol. 20 (3): 1992, pp.41-46.

Scenario-Planning Handbook: A Practitioner's Guide To Developing and Using Scenarios To Direct Strategy in

Today's Uncertain Times